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Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Friday Picks – September 27th

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Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.

Andrew found 2-1 Perth scorer SKYJACK HIGHJACK on Thursday and has three stats-based selections on Friday, September 27th…

WORCESTER 3.10

POTTERS CHARM (system – Ffos Las bumper winners, next time out)

Ffos Las bumper form tends to be underrated but backing all last time out Ffos Las bumper winners when they attempted to follow up, be it in another bumper, over hurdles or on the Flat, would have found 46 winners from 146 bets (31.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £32.63 (expected winners = 34.17, A/E = 1.35). POTTERS CHARM bolted up by 11 lengths at the Welsh venue on his rules debut back in March and can follow up.

 

WORCESTER 3.45

NEW ORDER (system – Charlie Longsdon, September)

Charlie Longsdon has a fine record in the month of September, scoring with 67 of his 279 runners (24% strike-rate) for a profit of £57.13 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 49.90, A/E = 1.34). NEW ORDER, one of four runners for the yard at Worcester today is better equipped than some of his rivals to handle the rain-softened going and has been freshened up ahead of his handicap debut.

 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00

BULLET POINT (system – William Haggas, gelded since last run, all-weather)

In the past five years, William Haggas has a 14 from 34 record with newly-gelded runners on the all-weather (41.2% strike-rate) and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £10.76 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 8.40, A/E = 1.67). BULLET POINT finished a creditable fourth at Windsor last time and the switch to handicap company for the first time, in addition to the gelding operation, can bring about improvement.

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