Horse Racing

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends And Stats For Friday’s ITV Racing (27th Sept 24)

Andy Newton Sports Editor

Published9 hours ago on September 26, 2024

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Horse racing fans can enjoy live ITV3 action this Friday with four LIVE races that include the Group Two Joel Stakes and Rockfel Stakes – and to help find the winners we’ve got all the key Newmarket trends that will highlight the best profiles based on past winners.

ITV Cameras Head To Newmarket To Four LIVE Races On Friday

It’s day two of the three-day Newmarket Cambridgeshire Meeting on Friday 27th September and the action gets going with a Listed affair and three Group races all to be screened LIVE on ITV.

These contests get going with the Rosemary Stakes (1:50pm) – a race trainer John Gosden has won three times in the last nine running – he’s got Spiritual representing him this year. It’s also been a bad race for favourites – with not a single winning jolly in the last 13 renewals.

While it could pay to know that five of the last six winners were also aged 3 years-old – meaning the two 4 year-olds in the race Doom and Sirona have this to overcome.

At 2:25pm it’s the Group 3 Dubai Stakes, where all eyes will be on last year’s winner Time Lock as he bids to follow up with Ryan Moore booked to ride again.

This 5 year-old is also one of the big fancies in the race with the best horse racing UK betting sites, along with the Gosden runner Place Of Safety.

The 3:00pm is the first of the two Group Two races with the Rockfel Stakes and horse racing fans will get another glimpse of the unbeaten Sir Michael Stoute filly Formal. She faces her biggest test to date – taking on two Aidan O’Brien runners in Bubbling and Ecstatic.

While the final of the live ITV3 races is at 3:35pm with the Group 2 Joel Stakes and with five of the last six winners hailing from stalls 2 or 3 – this will give fans of Ice Max and Dancing Gemini something to cling to.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends For ITV Racing (Fri, 27th Sept)

1.50 – Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV3

13/13 – Between 3-6 runs that season
12/13 – Won over 1m
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times
10/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/13 – Aged 3 years-old (5 of the last 6)
7/13 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/13 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
4/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 10)
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 9)
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/13 – Favourites
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015, 2016 & 2023

2.25 – Princess Royal Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

17/19 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
16/19 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
16/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/19 – Favourites placed
15/19– Won between 1-3 times before
12/19 – Aged 3 years-old
12/19 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/19 – Favourites
8/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Time Lock won the race in 2023
The horse from stall 12 has won 3 of the last 11 runnings
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 12 runnings

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV3

19/20 – Won 1-2 times in the past
17/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time
17/20 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
13/20 – Won by a March or April born foal
11/20 – Favourites placed
10/20 – Won over 7f
9/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/20 – Favourites (just 1 in the last 9)
4/20 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
3/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
9 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)

3.35 – Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV3

18/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
17/20 – Officially rated between 111-118
16/20 – Had won a Group race before
15/20 – Had won over 1m before
15/20 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
15/20 – Failed to win last time out
15/20 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Ran at Newmarket (Rowley) before (6 won)
12/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/20 – Won 4 or less times before
10/20 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
8/20 – Favourites
7/20 – Aged 4 years-old
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 9 runnings)
The last 9 winners were drawn in 6 or lower
5 of the last 6 winners drawn in 2 or 3
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 2