Horse Racing
Juddmonte International Stakes Trends 2024: Key Stats To Find The Big York Winner
Andy is a horse racing journalist and betting expert who specializes in trends and stats. With his long association with TrainersQuotes and FromTheStables, Andy has also built up solid contacts with some of the best stables in the UK. Has written for GeeGeez and bookmakers Matchbook and BetBright in the past too, plus was the former sports betting editor of odds comparison site Easyodds and Juicestorm. Has also appeared on betting podcasts for MatchBook and has featured in the popular Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Guide in the past. Andy's also ghost written for former top jockey Richard Dunwoody and continues to have a monthly column in the Racing Ahead horse racing magazine. Now a regular on Sportscasting giving his views, trends and tips mainly on horse racing - if there's a stat to be explored and it's a sport, Andy is sure to find a betting angle to use.
Get to know Andy Newton betterPublished01 Aug 2024
The Juddmonte International Stakes is one of the big Group One contests held at the four-day York Ebor Festival and this year the race will involve the 2024 Epsom Derby winner City Of Troy.
You can also help find the winner of 2024 race by using our key Juddmonte International Stakes trends and stats – apply these to the final runners, which will be announced two days before the race on Monday 19th August, to find the best profiles based on past winners of the race.
When Is The Juddmonte International Stakes?
đź“…Date: Wednesday 21st August 2024
🏇Racecourse: York
đź“ş TV: ITV and Racing TV
Juddmonte International Stakes Trends
See below the 22-year Juddmonte International Stakes horse racing trends to help find the best profiles based on previous winners of the York race.
- 20/22 – Previous Group 1 winners
- 20/22 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
- 19/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
- 18/22 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
- 18/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 16/22 – Had not run at York before
- 16/22 – Aged 4 or older
- 15/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 15/22 – Had won 5 or more times before
- 13/22 – Ran at either Ascot (8) or Sandown (5) last time out
- 12/22 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
- 11/22 – Winning favourites
- 5/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 in total and of the last 11)
- 3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 6)
- 3/22 – Won the Epsom Derby that season
- 6 of the last 16 winners were Irish-trained
- Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won the race 6 times
- Mostahdaf (3/1) won the race in 2023
- Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket
Epsom Derby Winner City Of Troy Expected To Run In The Juddmonte International Stakes
In the last 22 runnings of the Juddmonte International Stakes we’ve witnessed three Epsom Derby winners from that year follow-up.
These were Authorized (2007), Sea The Stars (2009) and Australia (2014), so this year’s Derby hero City Of Troy will be looking to become the next to also land the Juddmonte.
Since winning the Epsom Derby, City Of Troy has won the Coral-Eclipse (watch below) and the best UK bookmakers are making him the hot favourite to add another Group One to his tally.
82% Of The Last 22 Juddmonte International Winners Finished 1st or 2nd Last Time
Having finished in the first two in their most recent race has been a decent Juddmonte International Stakes trend to look for – with 18 of the last 22 (82%) ticking this stat.
4 Year-Olds Have The Best Juddmonte International Stakes Records
In terms of age – look no further than the 4 year-olds, who have the best record with 16 wins in the last 22 (73%).
It’s a race that we’ve also seen just 6 winning year-olds since 2022, which might be seen as a negative for City Of Troy.
With 4 and 5 year-olds winning 15 of the last 22 and there has only been one winning horse aged 6+ (Twice Over, 2011) since the race was first run in 1972.
Previous York Experience Not Essential
16 of the last 22 winners (73%) were having their first run at York too – meaning previous experience of the Knavesmire track is certainly not essential.
Backed up again last year when the winner Mostahdaf was winning at York for the first time.
City Of Troy is yet to race at York.
Juddmonte International Stakes Favourites Have A Great Record
With City Of Troy expected to go off as the warm favourite for the Juddmonte International Stakes – this is also a good sign as 50% of the last 22 market leaders have won.
The most recent was Baaeed in 2022, who won as the 2/5 fav, while we’ve also seen three of the last four market leaders win and five of the last 10.
Respect Trainers Aidan O’Brien and John Gosden
Finally, in terms of trainers to note – look no further than Aidan O’Brien and John Gosden – the pair have won the prize six times in the last 11 runnings.
Gosden has only recently got on the Juddmonte scoresheet, with his first winner coming in 2018 (Roaring Lion) but hasn’t wasted time in catching up with successes in 2021 (Mishriff) and 2023 (Mostahdaf).
O’Brien, who trains City Of Troy, has six wins in total and three of those have come since 2013 with his most recent Japan in 2019.
It’s worth mentioning Sir Michael Stoute too – as the Newmarket handler has six Juddmonte wins too (joint most with O’Brien) but is unlikely to have a runner this year. Meaning if Aidan O’Brien grab another winner here, he’ll become the winning most trainer in the history of the race.
Juddmonte International Stakes Past Winners
See below the last 10 winners of the Juddmonte International Stakes and their winning odds.
- 2023 – Mostahdaf (3/1)
- 2022 – Baaeed (2/5 fav)
- 2021 – Mishriff (9/4 fav)
- 2020 – Ghaiyyath (11/8 fav)
- 2019 – Japan (5/1)
- 2018 – Roaring Lion (3/1)
- 2017 – Ulysses (4/1)
- 2016 – Postponed (15/8 fav)
- 2015 – Arabian Queen (50/1)
- 2014 – Australia (8/13 fav)