Betting Tips

Andrew Mount’s Friday Picks – September 20th

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andrewmount
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andrewmount Horse Racing Expert

Andrew Mount is a leading racing adviser, broadcaster and journalist with over 20 years experience in the industry. He is a regular contributor to the Racing Post, Racing & Football Outlook, the Racing Post Weekender and the GG.co.uk website and has written more than 20 horses-to-follow books. Andrew specialises in a systems-based statistical approach to betting sites and is an expert pundit on William Hill radio and Racing Post TV.

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Horse Racing Expert

Published20 hours ago on September 20, 2024

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Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.

Andrew had a 9-4 winner and narrow 11-1 second from his two picks on Thursday and has two more on Friday, September 20th…

NEWBURY 3.30

REGAL ULIXES (system – second time out 2yos, beaten by 7L or less at Goodwood on debut)

REGAL ULIXES ran a promising race on his recent debut at Goodwood, finishing a two-length third of ten after running green. The undulating nature of the Goodwood track makes it a difficult place for juvenile newcomers to win and those that are beaten but run well – defined as finishing seven lengths or less behind the winner – often make good bets at the second time of asking, with 29 of the 89 qualifiers since the beginning of 2021 proving successful (32.6% strike-rate) for a profit of £28.85 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 19.59, A/E = 1.48).

 

DUNDALK 4.50

POWERFUL NATION (system – Sioux Nation, small fields)

Progeny of the sire Sioux Nation have a good record in small fields (ten or fewer runners), landing 119 of their 626 starts (19% strike-rate) for a profit of £91.90 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 94.76, A/E = 1.26). The strike-rate improves to 31.2% (64 winners from 205 bets) for those who finished second, third or fourth on their latest start for a profit of £123.92. POWERFUL NATION, neck by a neck in a ten-runner Listed contest at Tipperary in early July, has been freshened up since and can land this eight-runner conditions contest.

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Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.

T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.

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