Betting Tips

Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Spreadex Analysis – Thursday, September 19th

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Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount writes for the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, both published by the Racing Post, as well as GG.co.uk. His stats and systems based approach to value bets is a proven formula over time. Andrew provides SportsCasting readers with his latest thoughts below.

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The great thing about Spreadex is that offers both normal fixed odds betting plus spread betting on horse racing. There are some key differences, of course, between this form of gambling and placing regular fixed odds bets.

Make the right call and punters could win big, but the potential to lose money can be much higher. Intrigued? Then check out this how to spread bet on horse racing guide:

Andrew made a good profit with his buy of EXPENSIVE QUEEN (2nd by a neck, 9-1) on Wednesday and has two recommended bets/trades on Thursday, September 19th…

AYR JOCKEYS

JASON HART has a full book of eight rides at Ayr on Thursday and the in-form pilot rates a buy in the Spreadex AYR JOCKEYS market. MAGELLAN CLOUD (1.42) has yet to see a racecourse, but he’s trained by John & Sean Quinn, who have a good record here at Ayr. Backing their course runners – Flat or jumps – since the beginning of 2010 would have found 45 winners from 256 bets (17.6%) for a profit of £46.91 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 34.51, A/E = 1.30) and the colt might prove capable of picking up five or ten points. GALELIC GLADIATOR (2.12), a gelded newcomer from the Lucinda Russell yard, probably won’t be troubling the judge on his debut but OBJECT has possibilities in division one of the 5f handicap (2.42), while the strong-travelling ECCLESIASTICAL (3.12) looked a shade unlucky at Musselburgh last time and has each-way claims for the in-form Tristan Davidson in division two. ARTHUR’S REALM (3.42) fared best of the closers when fourth at Yarmouth last time and should again be finishing to good effect granted a strong gallop, while CHESHIRE DANCER (4.15), runner-up at Sandown last time, will appreciate the drying ground. POWER OF GOLD, another Quinn-trained runner, failed to handle the very soft ground at Ascot last time and has points prospects in the 4.48. Hart rounds off with SIR GARFIELD (5.23), who finished runner-up twice here before meeting trouble when mid-division at Catterick.

Recommendation: Buy JASON HART in Ayr Jockeys

 

CHELMSFORD 5.30

BEAUTIFUL CROWN is reliant on a very strong pace, and he encountered one when arriving late to land a 1m2f amateur riders’ handicap here on early August. The Jack Jones-trained six-year-old has been beaten twice since – finishing third of seven as the 5-2 favourite and fourth of seven (100-30 joint second-favourite) and could be vulnerable again now up in trip to 1m6f in a small-field handicap lacking obvious pace angles. Sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market. Fixed odds punters should side with SAINT RIQUIER, unlucky not to complete his hat-trick at Brighton on Monday.

Recommendation: Oppose BEAUTIFUL CROWN in Chelmsford 5.30


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