Betting Tips

Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – October 31st

andrewmount Horse Racing Expert

Published4 hours ago on October 30, 2024

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Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.

Andrew heads to the meetings at Newcastle (jumps) and Bath (Flat) for his two stats-based selections on Thursday, October 31st…

NEWCASTLE 1.45

SKYKACK HIJACK (system – LTO hurdler winner, quick return in handicap company, speed adjusted)

Since the beginning of 2012, backing last-time out hurdle winners who were returned to the track within seven days to contest a handicap hurdle (Class 2 or lower) would have found 378 winners from 936 bets (40.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £44.82 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who had one of the two highest last-time out speed ratings (according to Proform’s figures) were 227 from 486 (46.7%) for a profit of £75.21 (expected winners = 189.43, A/E = 1.20). SKYJACK HIJACK arrives here on a four-timer and could again prove hard to beat.

BATH 2.58

TAP DANCER (system – Marcus Tregoning, nurseries)

This century, Marcus Tregoning has a 16 from 79 record with his runners in nurseries (20.3% strike-rate) and backing them all would have returned a profit of £23.21 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 10.43, A/E = 1.53). Since the beginning of all year his qualifiers have recorded form figures of 113111 (5-6) and recent wide-margin 1m2f course winner TAP DANCER is taken to make a winning handicap debut, despite cutting back in trip to 1m.

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