UFC Paris Odds, Predictions, & Best Prop Bets

This weekend, the Octagon returns to the City of Lights as the UFC descends upon Paris for a stacked card headlined by a thrilling featherweight clash between Renato “Moicano” Moicano and Benoit Saint-Denis.

Louvre-worthy! 🤩@MoicanoUFC & @BenoitSt_Denis received canvases ahead of #UFCParis

🎨: @BenjiDestouesse pic.twitter.com/52UI1shmh6

— UFC (@ufc) September 25, 2024

Moicano, a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt with a devastating ground game, has been a consistent force in the UFC’s featherweight division for several years. Known for his technical striking and submission prowess, Moicano has faced some of the best fighters in the world, including Max Holloway, Jose Aldo, and Brian Ortega. His recent win over Jalin Turner showcased his ability to adapt and overcome adversity, making him a dangerous opponent for anyone.

Saint-Denis, a French-born fighter with a growing reputation, is looking to make a statement on his home turf. With a 13-2 (5-2 UFC) professional record, Saint-Denis has impressed with his aggressive style and knockout power. His recent loss against former interim lightweight champion Dustin Poirier demonstrated his ability to handle high-level competition, and fighting in front of his countrymen is sure to provide him with an extra boost of motivation.

This matchup is a fascinating stylistic contrast. Moicano’s technical striking and grappling skills are well-documented, while Saint-Denis’s raw power and aggressive approach make him a dangerous threat. The outcome of this fight could have significant implications for the featherweight division. A victory for Moicano would solidify his position as a top contender, while a win for Saint-Denis would announce his arrival as a serious title challenger.

Beyond the main event, the UFC Paris card features several other intriguing matchups. Two top-ranked middleweight contenders Nassourdine Imavov and Brendan Allen battle it out in the co-main event. Both fighters have been on a tear and are looking to put their names in the title mix with a win on Saturday.

With a stacked lineup from top to bottom, UFC Paris promises to be an exciting event for fans of mixed martial arts. The main event between Moicano and Saint-Denis is a must-see matchup that could have major implications for the future of the featherweight division.

UFC Paris should be an exciting night of fights with that said, let’s take a look at the odds, best bets, and props for this event.

UFC Paris Odds

UFC Paris Best Bets & Props

Renato Moicano to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (+300)

As UFC Paris approaches, all eyes are on the lightweight clash between Renato Moicano and Benoit Saint-Denis. While Saint-Denis has been on a tear, Moicano’s experience and well-rounded skill set could prove to be the deciding factor in this bout.

Moicano’s superior grappling acumen gives him a significant edge. With 9 of his 17 wins coming by submission, he poses a constant threat on the ground. Saint-Denis, despite his own grappling credentials, has shown vulnerability to submissions in the past.

On the feet, Moicano’s technical striking and fight IQ could frustrate the aggressive Saint-Denis. The Brazilian’s ability to manage distance and pick his shots precisely could lead to openings for a knockout or create opportunities to take the fight to the mat.

Moicano’s experience against top-tier competition cannot be overlooked. Having faced the likes of Jose Aldo, Brian Ortega, and Calvin Kattar, he’s no stranger to high-pressure situations. This composure could be crucial in weathering Saint-Denis’ early storm and capitalizing on mistakes.

While Saint-Denis has momentum, Moicano’s well-rounded skill set, submission prowess, and veteran savvy make him a serious threat to end this fight inside the distance, potentially shocking the French crowd with a knockout or submission victory over their hometown hero.

Nassourdine Imavov (-205)

As UFC Paris approaches, the middleweight clash between Nassourdine Imavov and Brendan Allen promises fireworks. While Allen brings a formidable seven-fight win streak, Imavov’s skillset and home advantage could prove decisive.

Imavov’s striking prowess is a key factor. Landing 4.58 significant strikes per minute with 55% accuracy, he outpaces Allen’s 3.98 strikes at 53% accuracy. This superior volume and precision could overwhelm Allen, especially in the early rounds.

The Frenchman’s grappling defense is often underestimated. With a takedown defense rate of 80%, he’s well-equipped to keep the fight standing against Allen, who averages 1.74 takedowns per 15 minutes.

Fighting on home soil in Paris will provide Imavov with an immense psychological boost. The energy of the French crowd could fuel his performance and rattle Allen, who’s stepping into hostile territory.

Imavov’s experience against top-tier competition, including bouts with Sean Strickland and Kelvin Gastelum, has sharpened his fight IQ. This high-level experience could be crucial in navigating Allen’s aggressive style.

While Allen is a worthy opponent, Imavov’s striking superiority, grappling defense, home advantage, and big-fight experience make him the favorite to emerge victorious in this pivotal middleweight showdown at UFC Paris.

Chris Duncan (+154)

As UFC Paris approaches, the lightweight clash between Chris Duncan and Bolaji Oki promises to be a thrilling encounter. While Oki has been impressive, Duncan’s experience and well-rounded skill set could prove decisive in this bout.

Duncan’s resilience and durability are key factors. Known for his ability to absorb punishment and keep moving forward, he’s likely to weather Oki’s early storm. This toughness, combined with his accurate striking, could frustrate the less experienced Oki as the fight progresses.

The Scotsman’s grappling credentials shouldn’t be overlooked. Averaging nearly four takedowns per 15 minutes, Duncan’s wrestling could neutralize Oki’s striking advantage. His top control and ground-and-pound could be crucial in securing rounds or even finding a finish.

Duncan’s experience against higher-level competition is significant. With UFC victories over Yanal Ashmouz and Omar Morales, he’s no stranger to the Octagon pressure. This big-fight experience could be pivotal in managing the bout’s ebb and flow.

While Oki is a rising talent, Duncan’s well-rounded skill set, superior grappling, and veteran savvy make him the favorite. His ability to adapt mid-fight and push a relentless pace could overwhelm Oki, potentially leading to a late stoppage or a hard-fought decision victory for Chris Duncan at UFC Paris.