Sports Betting
NFL Betting Trends: Which Team Has the Best Record Against the Spread?
Writing professionally since 2015, Jack Dougherty spent six years as a sportswriter with publications such as GoPSUSports.com, the Centre Daily Times, and the Associated Press before joining Sportscasting in 2020. He covers the NBA, the NFL, and the world of golf extensively and has added expertise on any team located in or around his hometown of Philadelphia. Yes, that includes the Philadelphia Eagles, the Philadelphia 76ers, and Philadelphia Phillies. When Jack isn't writing about sports, he's watching them or playing them as he regularly heads to the gym for some pickup basketball or the golf course to hit the links. He's also an avid participant in the sports betting scene who worked at a casino sportsbook for a year and learned the ins and outs of the industry before bringing his expertise to Sportscasting with one excellent gambling recommendation after another.
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At this point in the NFL season, we have a fairly strong grasp of the best and worst teams in the league. We know the Philadelphia Eagles, Buffalo Bills, and Kansas City Chiefs are the top Super Bowl contenders, just as we know the Houston Texans and Chicago Bears aren’t going to sniff the playoffs. But are the best teams in the NFL also the best teams against the spread?
Not necessarily.
The Bengals and Giants have the best record against the spread
Both the Cincinnati Bengals and New York Giants have four losses this season. Neither team holds the lead in their respective division, but Cincinnati and New York are tied for the best record against the spread this season at 9-3.
Right behind them are the Tennessee Titans, Dallas Cowboys, and Detroit Lions at 8-4. The Philadelphia Eagles, who own the best record in the NFL through 13 weeks at 11-1, are only 7-5 against the spread. Similarly, the 10-2 Minnesota Vikings are only 6-5 ATS. That just proves that the best teams in the NFL every year aren’t necessarily the best teams to bet on, while some of the worst teams can be money-makers in the betting market.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who have limped to a 6-6 record through 12 games, have the worst against the spread mark in the league at 3-8-1. They’re just below the 4-8 Denver Broncos and the 4-8 Jacksonville Jaguars.
As for ATS differential, the Cowboys have covered by an average of 8.6 points per game. That’s the best mark in the NFL. The Indianapolis Colts and the Los Angeles Rams are tied for the worst differential in the league at -5.7.
Check out every team’s ATS numbers below:
| Team | Against the Spread Record | ATS Differential |
|---|---|---|
| New York Giants | 9-3-0 | +1.7 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9-3-0 | +1.3 |
| Tennessee Titans | 8-4-0 | +0.4 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 8-4-0 | +8.6 |
| Detroit Lions | 8-4-0 | +2.7 |
| New York Jets | 7-5-0 | +6.0 |
| Washington Commanders | 7-5-1 | +1.1 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7-5-0 | +2.1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 7-5-0 | -4.0 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7-5-0 | +2.9 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-5-1 | -0.5 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6-5-1 | -1.3 |
| Buffalo Bills | 6-5-1 | +3.3 |
| New England Patriots | 6-5-1 | +1.8 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7-6-0 | +0.9 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6-6-0 | -0.8 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 6-6-0 | -1.9 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6-6-0 | -0.4 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6-6-0 | +2.9 |
| Carolina Panthers | 6-6-0 | +1.5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6-7-0 | -1.6 |
| Green Bay Packers | 5-8-0 | -5.0 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5-8-0 | -1.5 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 5-8-0 | -5.7 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4-7-1 | +0.1 |
| Houston Texans | 4-7-1 | -1.3 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4-7-1 | +1.3 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4-7-2 | -5.7 |
| Chicago Bears | 4-8-1 | -0.3 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-8-0 | +1.0 |
| Denver Broncos | 4-8-0 | -3.3 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3-8-1 | -4.7 |
NFL Week 14 odds, spreads, and totals
RELATED: NFL Fantasy Forecast Week 14: Busts, Breakouts, Sleepers, and More
All betting odds courtesy of FanDuel as of 12/10.
Detroit Lions -1.5 vs. Minnesota Vikings (51.5)
Buffalo Bills -10 vs. New York Jets (43.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5 vs. Baltimore Ravens (36.5)
Philadelphia Eagles -7 at New York Giants (44.5)
Cincinnati Bengals -5.5 vs. Cleveland Browns (46.5)
Tennessee Titans -3.5 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (40.5)
Dallas Cowboys -17.5 vs. Houston Texans (44.5)
Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 at Denver Broncos (43.5)
Seattle Seahawks -4.5 vs. Carolina Panthers (44.5)
San Francisco 49ers -3.5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (37.5)
Miami Dolphins -3.5 at Los Angeles Chargers (53.5)
New England Patriots -1.5 at Arizona Cardinals (43.5)
